Pinnacle’s Spanish La Liga Weekly Preview combines betting market data with team capabilities from Infogol to try and find value in odds.
Granada – Athletic Bilbao
Granada and Athletics have almost equal chances of winning in the opening match of La Liga. Granada had an impressive campaign in 2019/20, ending in seventh place. Her players’ uniforms at the start of the season, however, could be disrupted by an overwhelmed Europa League qualifying campaign.
Athletic will be looking to improve last year’s mid-table position this season after failing to finish at the top for only the second time in seven years. The same teams met each other in the last round of the 2019/20 season in July, and then Granada left no chances to the opponent – 4: 0.
“Eibar” – “Celta” Vigo
It is beneficial for Eibar to start their season with a victory at Ipurua over Celta. After hovering over a chasm for much of last season, it ultimately finished mid-table despite being the second-most defeated team (18), if not counting the stats of clubs relegated to Segunda. … This time they will be left without the top scorer of last season, Charles, as he moved to Pontevedra.
Vigo escaped relegation by just one point ahead of the top three last season, despite ending the campaign with a seven-game unbeaten run. The club has only managed to win two away wins, with only last-placed Espanyol scoring fewer points overall.
Cadiz – Osasuna
The market predicts a highly controversial match between the newly promoted Cadiz and Osasuna. Cadiz earned their place in La Liga this season by finishing second in the Segunda division, and only in the last round lost first to Huesca, topping the table for the vast majority of rounds. The team is approaching this match after just three wins in their last ten home games.
The first season of “Osasuna”, returning to the Spanish top division, ended with a successful finish in the middle of the table, helped by the consistently decent form of the team’s players. Indeed, they ended the campaign by winning three of their last four away matches, including a win over Barcelona at the Camp Nou.
Real Valladolid – Real Sociedad
Real Sociedad are expected to kick off with an away win over Real Madrid from Valladolid. Sociedad finished sixth in the 2019/20 season and have since significantly strengthened their squad with the unexpected signing of David Silva, who joined the squad on a free transfer after leaving Manchester City. However, the club ended last season by winning only one of their last five away matches.
Valladolid was seven places behind his rivals in the table last season, thanks to a controversial campaign in which he was the second most wins outside of the bottom three teams (nine) and the second most draws overall (15) … The hosts will not be able to name defender Mohammed Salisu as their 2019/20 star as he has completed a transfer to Southampton.
Villarreal – Huesca
Villarreal are not expected to face significant difficulties as they host the newly promoted Huesca in their first match. Villarreal finished fifth last season and may have missed out on fourth, league, after losing three of their last five matches. Notable transfers include Valencia’s Francis Coquelin and Real Madrid’s Takefusa Kubo.
Huesca won the Segunda last season and returned to La Liga on the first try, despite winning only half of their matches and scoring less than 1.5 goals per game. While she has a solid preseason record showing that the team can take on top opponents, her intended goal for the 2020/21 season will be to avoid relegation.
Valencia – Levante
Valencia are expected to beat Levante, although predicting how Los Murcelagos will play this season is arguably more difficult than any other team. The club reportedly put almost its entire squad up for sale in an attempt to close the debts, and as a result, the departure of Fernando Torres, Francis Coquelin and Rodrigo took place. However, only Barcelona, Real Madrid and Atletico Madrid looked better at home than Valencia last season.
Levante are up three places from the 2018/19 season, finishing twelfth last season, and will similarly strive to maintain their upward development in the new campaign. Last season, Levante’s away games ended in just two draws, with only Villarreal scoring fewer points away.
“Alaves” – “Betis”
“Alaves” and “Betis” have almost equal chances to emerge victorious from this duel. The teams were separated by just two points in the La Liga standings last season, with both finishing at the bottom of the table. Alaves put on terrible form at the end of the season without winning any of his last four matches at Mendisorros Stadium.
Betis’s away stats last season are not very impressive. The club have won just one victory and scored ten points in 19 away games, with only Mallorca scoring fewer points away. Since then, the defense has been reinforced with transfers from Brighton’s Martin Montoya and Manchester City’s Claudio Bravo.