Pinnacle’s English Premier League weekly preview combines betting market data with team capability data from Infogol to try to find value in odds.
Fulham v Arsenal
Arsenal will kick off their season against newly promoted Fulham, with Mikel Arteta hoping to build on his recent FA Cup success. Fulham have lost all of their last five Premier League matches against the Gunners, conceding nine goals in their last two.
While this will be Fulham’s new side compared to what the club looked like two seasons earlier, it is still difficult to predict anything other than an away win for the favorite given the brilliant form of Arteta’s squad.
Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang will be the person to look out for in this match. Only Jamie Vardy has scored more Premier League goals than Aubameyang (a total of 22 last season).
West Ham v Newcastle
West Ham have scored twice or more in each of their last five Premier League matches against Newcastle United, and this could potentially be another multi-goal scorer.
West Ham players Declan Rice and Issa Diop may miss this game due to injury and it is worth keeping an eye on the team’s news as this may affect the home team’s starting chances.
Allan Saint-Maximin has looked like a real leader and a constant threat to the opposition in the last season, and the French winger is worth watching this match.
“West Bromwich ”-“ Leicester City ”
West Brom are returning to the Premier League with a home match against Leicester City. The Foxes were out of shape towards the end of last season, which will be a real concern for Brendan Rogers, but he is determined to start the new season well.
Leicester have lost Ben Chillwell to Chelsea, but Timothy Castagne has been recruited and his arrival suggests that the 3-4-1-2 system that Rogers has consistently used last season will remain.
The odds are favorable for the guests to score all three points, which seems like a good bet, although the game is expected to be on a collision course.
Tottenham – Everton
Tottenham are unbeaten in 15 Premier League games against Everton (won eight and drew seven), suggesting that the London club is enjoying a class advantage.
Everton are reportedly on the verge of signing several players, most notably James Rodriguez from Real Madrid and Allan from Napoli, while Abdoulaye Dukuret also appears to be arriving from Watford.
However, it is unlikely that any of these players will be ready for the match, and quotes predict that Tottenham’s Jose Mourinho will win a home victory in a match that is not expected to score too many goals.
Sheffield United v Wolverhampton
Sheffield United have lost only two of their last 13 home games against the Wolves in the championship (won seven and drew four). He also won both of his most recent matches, including the game at the end of last season, so there is a possible scenario for bettors to use to predict the future.
Wolves’ winger Adam Traore is unlikely to take part in the match after testing positive for coronavirus, and this may mean that Nuno Espiritu Santo will have to urgently look for a replacement. Diogo Iota, Joao Moutinho, Ruben Neves and Rui Patricio are all currently away from Portugal and their pre-game form is in doubt. A home win might look like a good bet.
Brighton v Chelsea
Chelsea have never lost to Brighton in the Premier League, winning nine and drawing one in ten games. Indeed, the Blues have faced Brighton with this advantage more than any other team in their history in the Premier League.
They were also among the most active Premier League clubs this summer’s transfer window, completing the signing of Hakim Ziyech, Timo Werner, Ben Chilwell, Malang Sarra and Thiago Silva. They also seem to be on the verge of signing Bayer Leverkusen’s Kai Havertz for a record club fee.
It is a good time for Brighton to play Chelsea before the new acquisitions take place, but chances are predicting that the London club is well positioned to win away.
Liverpool v Leeds
It looks like the main event of the weekend will be a duel in which Premier League champion Liverpool will face the winner of the Championship Leeds at Anfield. The home team have an impressive recent home league record of wins, which means the odds are definitely in their favor to take all three points.
Leeds were an impressive team winning the Championship last season, and Marcelo Bielsa will be looking to kick off the new season well, but his team is unlikely to put up a decent resistance in this particular game. Jurgen Klopp’s squad are unbeatable in their last eight games against Leeds in all competitions (won six and drew two) and should be expected to maintain that record.
“ Crystal Palace “-” Southampton “
Southampton have won their last three Premier League away matches with Crystal Palace without conceding a goal, which means they will approach this match with complete confidence.
Palace has completed signing Eberechi Eze of Queens Park Rangers and it will be very interesting to see how he looks over the course of the season.
Danny Ings has had a great campaign in 2019/20 and will be a threat to the guests again in this match. The forward scored 22 goals, accounting for 43% of his team’s total league goals last season – the highest percentage any player in the Premier League can boast.
His sensational campaign also meant that his goals secured 27 of his team’s 52 points – the highest overall result and percentage (52%) in a division, so it wouldn’t be surprising if he scored on opening day.